市场环境下电力需求侧管理项目评估模型的改进

Improvement on DSM project evaluation model under market environment

要建立电力需求侧管理(DSM)工作的长效机制,需要建立一套完善的DSM项目评估价体系,综合考虑各种实际因素对DSM项目评价指标的影响。在传统DSM项目成本效益分析模型的基础上增加了市场渗透率、"免费搭车"、"市场溢出"等因素,建立了上述因素改进后的评估模型算法,并应用实例对改进前后DSM项目评估模型进行了仿真分析,进一步验证了改进后评估模型的可行性和有效性,从而为政府主管部门开展DSM规划和实施工作提供了重要的决策依据。

In order to set up a long term DSM mechanism, it is needed to design a perfect DSM project evaluation model and comprehensively consider elements which affect DSM project evaluation index. According to traditional DSM project cost-effective analysis model, the paper adds market penetration,free ride, market overflow to set up new evaluation model algorithm, and uses an example to emulate the effect of the two DSM project evaluation models. So it further verifies the feasibility and effectiveness of the new evaluation model which will provide important dicision accordance for governments to make DSM policies.