经济增长由投资拉动转向消费拉动的现实选择--基于税收政策效应的实证分析

Economic Growth: Practical Choice of Transformation from Investment Driven to Consumption Driven——An Empirical Study Based on the Effect of Tax Policy

消费是影响和决定国民收入的重要因素,如何实现经济增长由投资拉动向消费拉动的转变,是当前经济形势下迫切需要解决的问题。通过引入虚拟变量,从税收政策视角建立消费函数计量模型,对影响中国居民消费行为的因素进行了量化和深入分析,并基于模型的分析结果给出了政策界面。

Consumption is the primary factor that affects and determines the GDP, how to transform the way of the economic growth from investment driven to consumption driven is an urgent problem in the current situatiorn. The paper makes an empirical study on the determining factors of the resident consumption by introducing the pseudo variables and establishing the consumption model from the viewpoint of the tax policy. Finally, a series of tax policy are given based on the results of the model.