反化学恐怖用毒重点物的综合评估模型

Comprehensive Evaluation and Model Research on Major Potential Toxic Agents used by Terrorists

综合集成了德尔菲法、层次分析法、灰色统计法和模糊评估法的优点,建立了一种集多种理论和方法为一体的综合评估模型,并通过实例分析证明了它的有效性和可靠性,为反化学恐怖用毒重点物的评估提供了新方法。

The research on the dynamic spectra of defense against toxicants used in chemical terrorism should have been developed to resist the worldwide aggravation of chemical terrorism. To do this, a synthetical evaluation method that represents comprehensive combination of some certain methods such as Delphi, Analytic Hierarchy process （AHP）, grey evaluation, and fuzzy evaluation is provided in this paper. Examples show that this evaluation method is valid and reliable. In other words, this paper provides a new method for evaluating major potential toxicants used by terrorists.