空铁联运条件下长三角地区铁路系统客运组织

Research of the Railway Passenger Traffic Organization in Yangtze River Delta Under On Air-Rail Intermodality

本文利用重力模型和logit模型对长三角地区主要城市间的铁路客运量进行预测，分析了空铁联运对该地区的铁路客运系统在运输组织模式和列车运行方式方面提出的新的要求。在此基础上，结合铁路线网规划，确定了适合空铁联运的铁路客运组织模式。

This paper forecasts the number of railway passengers of Yangtze River Delta by using gravity model and Iogit model, and analysis the new demands upon the railway passenger traffic made by On Air-Rail Intermodality. On this basis, combining with the planning of the railway net, the railway passenger traffic organization mode in suit with On Air-Rail Intermodality is determined.