试析美国经济走势

An Analysis of the U.S. Economic Tendency

在美国经济持续强势增长的背后,其长期积累的问题开始凸显,特别是近期发生的次级抵押贷款危机对美国经济造成一定冲击。今后一、二年,美国经济增速将减慢,甚至不排除出现轻度衰退的可能。但美国经济中的利多因素大于挑战因素,美国经济不会出现严重衰退,大体上将保持温和增长。

Behind sustained strong growth of American economy, the negative effects of the problems through a long term accumulation begin to become conspicuous, especially the sub-prime mortgage loan crisis which happened recently has given an impact to American economy. In one year or two years, the increasing speed of American economy will slow down and even the possibility of slight recession cannot be eliminated. However, because the favorable factors are more than challenges, American economy will not severe decline but generally maintain moderate growth.