美国对虾反倾销案的贸易转移分析

An Analysis on Trade Diversion by USA Shrimp Anti-dumping

以美国对中国等六国对虾反倾销事件为研究对象,探讨了反倾销措施对涉案国的贸易限制作用以及多国涉案是否存在贸易转移效应。结果表明,反倾销税率越高,对涉案国出口的抑制作用就越明显,尤其是在反倾销措施实施后的前2年;同时未涉案国对虾出口迅速增加,即发生了贸易从涉案国转向未涉案国;当多个国家涉案时,不仅从未涉案国的进口增加,而且因被征税率的不同从低税率涉案国的进口也增加;还发现,个别涉案国如中国发生了从涉案产品向未涉案产品的贸易转移。

Based on the case of USA shrimp anti-dumping on the six countries including China, the effect of anti-dumping measure （ADM） on trade restriction and import diversion was analyzed. The results suggested that trade restriction was more significant the larger was the anti-dumping duties, especial in first two years by ADM. Imports from non-named countries increased at same time, implying trade diversion from named countries to non-named countries occurred. Not only imports increased from non-named countries, but also from named countries with low duties when more countries were named in the case. It also occurred trade diversion from named products to non-products for China.