基于突变理论的环境不安全生产因素动态安全评价探讨

Dynamic safety evaluation of environmental unsafe factor in production process, based on catastrophe theory

环境的安全状态是本质安全的重要组成要素,《生产过程危险和有害因素分类与代码》(GB/T13861—92)将环境的不安全因素分为一级、二级、三级动态分析要素,建立动态安全的分析系统,并结合突变理论进行分析,揭示环境的不安全因素导致事故发生的规律,以便有效地预测和控制环境的不安全因素,事故动态分析过程中所有环境的不安全因素联系在一起的理论体系或模型具有很大的实用价值。

The safety state of environment is an important factor of safety in production itself. 〈 Classification and Code of Risk and adverse Factor in Production Process 〉 （GB/T 13861-92） divides the unsafe factors into Class A, Class B and Class C. Based on catastrophe theory, dynamic safety analysis system was established to reveal the regulations of environmental accidents. As a result, the unsafe factors may be forecast and controlled before they cause catastrophes. The theorical system and model which connects all the environmental unsafe factor is of great value.