基于AHP-FCE模型的复杂产品系统项目风险评估研究

CoPS Project Risk Recognising & Evaluating Based on AHP-FCE Model

针对复杂产品系统(CoPS)的特点,在对CoPS项目风险识别的基础上,利用层次分析(AHP)法建立了CoPS项目风险的评价指标体系,确定了风险因素的权重;并引入模糊综合评价(FCE)的基本思想和方法,构建了CoPS项目风险的模糊综合评价模型。并且结合案例介绍了该模型的应用过程。

In allusion to the characteristics of CoPS and based on recognising of CoPS project risk,this paper uses analytical hierarch process to establish evaluation indexes system,quantifies the weights of different risk evaluation indexes.Furthermore,this paper introduces fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and constructs fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of CoPS Project Risk.Finally, this paper introduces the application of the model by one case.