商品流通规模监测预警指标的筛选--基于时差相关分析法的视角

Screening for the Monitoring and Early-warning Indicators of the Commodity Distribution Scale

商品流通规模的变动受诸多要素的影响,其中,城乡居民人民币储蓄存款增长率是重要影响因子,它不但促进了商品流通的规模,而且与国内生产产值增长率、居民消费支出增长率及批发、零售、餐饮业就业人员数增长率等因素共同组成了对商品流通规模变动实施实时监测和预警的指标体系。

The fluctuation of commodities distribution scale has been affected by many indicators. Among them, the RMB savings deposit increasing rate of urban and rural residents is the important influence factor, which not only promote the scale of commodity distribution, but also form the index system monitoring and early-warning the commodity distribution scale＇s change with other factors, such as the increasing rate of GDP, the increasing rate of residents＇ consume spending and the increasing rate of quantity of wholesale, retail and catering employees.