影响中国服务贸易出口的可量化因素分析

Analysis on the Quantifiable Factors Impacting China's Services Trade Export

根据1990-2004年中国服务贸易出口及其可量化因素的时间序列数据建立的多元线性回归模型,印证了人均国内生产总值、世界GDP增长率、服务业占GDP的比重、货物贸易出口额等因素对中国服务贸易出口的影响。因此,应优化服务贸易出口结构,扩大市场开发度和加大政府支持力度,以增加中国服务贸易的出口。

According to the multiple linear regression model of China＇s services trade export volume and quantifiable factors in time series data fome 1990 to 2004, it is proved that factors such as the GDP per capita, the world GDP growth rate, the proportion of the services industry in the GDP and the amount of trade in goods exports have impact on China＇s services trade exports. So we should optimize the services thade export structure, expand the market explorement and the government support intensity in order to increase the China＇s service trade export quantity.