用破片覆盖度进行毁伤概率评估

Kill Probability Estimatior Using Cover-Degree of Fragments

在对国内相关专业研究和了解的基础上,结合多年的工作经验,针对地空导弹武器系统典型目标易损性无法确定的情况,将目标整体作为杀伤对象对待,建立了目标被战斗部破片覆盖的程度、目标命中战斗部破片数、目标易损性折算因子及战斗部条件毁伤概率等模型,与传统方法进行对比仿真计算表明,用文中所给方法可以进行目标易损性分析、计算毁伤概率和确定杀伤区,亦可作为引战配合设计的参考依据。

Based on studying and understanding correlative specialty, relied on work experience, aimed at uncertain representative target vulnerability for ground-to-air missile weapon systems, whole target were treated as killing object, math models for the target cover-degree of warhead fragments and number of warhead fragments hitting the target and transform-quotiety of the target vulnerability and condition kill probability of warhead and so on were built. Compared with the tradition method by emulation com- pute, methods in this article could analyse the target vulnerability, compute kill probability and fix on kill region,as well as design coordination of fuze and warhead by way of reference and gist.