持久性收入对中国农民消费影响分析

Analysis on Effects of Permanent Income on Chinese Farmers’ Consumption

运用弗里德曼的持久性收入假说分析我国农民的消费问题,并利用计量经济学的方法对中国历年农民消费统计数据进行分析,得出"持久性收入及持久性收入的边际消费倾向对我国现阶段农民消费支出影响较大"的结论,并从增加持久性收入和提高持久性收入的边际消费倾向两个方面就增加农民消费提出政策建议。

This paper uses Friedman＇s permanent income hypothesis to research Chinese farmers＇ consumption. Through analyzing statistical yearbook data of China in econometrical method,it draws conclusions that permanent income and marginal propensity to consume of permanent income play important roles in influencing Chinese farmers＇ consumption at present. It puts forward some suggestions to raise permanent income and relevant marginal propensity to consume of Chinese farmers.