国内外天然气资源现状与发展趋势

STATUS QUO AND TREND OF NATURAL GAS RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT IN CHINA AND THE WORLD

世界天然气资源丰富,2006年剩余天然气探明可采储量为175.08×1012m3,产量达到2.84×1012m3,随着天然气贸易的逐步全球化,天然气将成为21世纪世界的支柱能源。我国常规和非常规天然气资源相对丰富,资源探明程度低,天然气储量、产量处于快速增长阶段,发展潜力大,但由于市场需求量更大,供需矛盾将长期存在。据专家预测,2020年国内天然气探明地质储量将超过10×1012m3,天然气产量将达到1500×108m3左右,国内天然气产量难以满足需求。因此,在强化国内天然气资源勘探的同时,加快发展天然气贸易也势在必行。

Natural gas resources are abundant on the earth.By the end of 2006,the proved recoverable gas reserves reached 175.08 tcm,and the annual recovery reached 2.84 tcm.Along with the globalization of gas trade,natural gas will become a dominant component of the energy mix in the 21st century.Both conventional and unconventional gas resources are relatively rich in China and are less explored.Although both the gas reserves and production are witnessing fast growth with great potential,the imbalance between supply and demand will exist for a long period of time due to the more rapid growth of market demand.It is predicted that the domestic proved gas reserves and annual recovery will reach up to 10 tcm and 150 bcm respectively in 2020.Therefore,it is imperative to accelerate gas trade while strengthening domestic gas resources exploration.