中国新能源资源潜力及前景展望

POTENTIAL AND PROSPECTS ON NEW ENERGY SOURCES IN CHINA

随着中国经济的快速发展,国内常规油气的开发已不能满足经济发展的需要。预计到2020年,中国石油缺口约2.8×108t,天然气缺口800×108m3。世界各国都很重视新能源的开发和利用,煤层气、油砂、油页岩、地热、燃料乙醇和生物柴油等已经在部分国家实现了有效开发。中国新能源资源丰富,发展新能源对中国具有重要的战略意义。为此,分析了中国煤层气、油砂、油页岩等非常规油气资源及地热、太阳能等可再生能源的资源基础和进展;目前,中国石油已经在煤层气、燃料乙醇、地热、油砂和油页岩等新能源方面积极开展工作,为下一步新能源业务加快发展奠定了良好的基础;分析认为:中国新能源要实现真正意义上的替代作用道路还很漫长,提出了"建立新理论找到新资源"、"应用新技术取得新突破"等新能源发展建议。

The exploitation of conventional oil and gas can not keep its pace up with the increasingly rapid development of Chinese economy.It was predicted that by the year of 2020,there would be 280 million tons of oil in short,and 80 tcm of gas for lack.Therefore,more and more countries all over the world have discovered and utilized various new engrgy sources,such as coal-bed methane,oil shale,geothermal power,fuel ethanol,and bio-diesel,and so on.Since there are abundant new energy sources in China,to explore and take use of them by all means will be strategically essential at present.This paper analyzed the advantages and research progress on both unconventional energy sources like CBM,oil-bearing sand,and oil shale,etc.and the renewable energy sources like geothermal power and solar energy.PetroChina has carried out active studies and development projects on many new energy sources including CBM,fuel ethanol,geothermal power,oil sand,oil shale,and so on,which has paved a way for further recovery and development of more new energy sources in near future.Through analysis this paper pointed out that there would be a long way for new energy sources to be used in place of the conventional energy,and suggested that new theories should be founded to discover more new energy sources,and advanced techniques should be applied to achieve in new breakthroughs.