对中国服务业资本存量的估计:1952-2006

One Measurement of Capital Stock of the Tertiary Industry in China: 1952-2006

服务业资本存量是近年来许多服务业实证研究不可缺少的指标,而对中国服务业资本存量进行过系统估计的研究到目前为止仍属空白。综合运用已有的资本存量测算方法和自建的经验公式可以估算出1952-2006年中国服务业的资本存量。研究表明:中国服务业资本存量年均增长率呈"U"型趋势,现阶段中国服务业的增长是资本推动型。

Capital stock is an indispensable index in some empirical studies on the tertiary industry, however, there has never been systemically-estimated research on this field so far. According to the existing methods and empirical formula made by the author, the paper estimates the capital stock of the tertiary industry in the period of 1952 - 2006. The annual growth rate of China＇s capital stock of the tertiary industry appears the ＂ U-shaped＂ tendency. The result shows that the growth of China＇s tertiary industry is capital-driven at present.