乡村债务危机的预警机制研究

A Research into the Early-warning Mechanism of the Country Obligation Crisis

乡村债务危机并非在一朝一夕内就会爆发,有一个较长的潜伏时期,而危机的防范和化解能力主要取决于是否具有一个科学的预警机制。乡村债务危机预警机制的管理目标是根据乡村债务现状,构建危机预警机制和危机防范化解机制,实现乡村债务危机管理的规范化、系统化和科学化。建立乡村债务的预警机制主要可以分为宏观、中观和微观三个不同层次的预警系统,构成网络体系、协调动作、垂直型监测的危机监测预警。

The country obligation crisis will not break out suddenly, hut has a long and latent period, and a scientific early - warning mechanism is all - important in preventing and dissolving the early - warning mechanism. The target of the country obligation crisis early - warning mechanism is to set up the crisis early - warning mechanism and crisis preventing and dissolving mechanism according to the country obligation present condition, so as to realize the standardization, systematization and scientization of country obligation crisis management. The early - warning mechanism of the country obligation is divided into three different levels, namely the macro warning, medium warning and micro warning.