摘要
在系统研究我国东部地区18个省、市、自治区近年来能源消耗和SO2排放现状的基础上,利用国际上先进的LEAP模式和排放系数法,进行了2000,2010和2020年三个时段的能耗和SO2排放趋势预测。研究中考虑了三峡工程和核电等的影响和各省之间的电平衡,以及有关部门的最新政策和数据。将大型火电厂单独作为点源考虑后,SO2排放的结果采用科学方法进行了按经纬度的网格化,可以直接作为远距离酸沉降模式的输入文件使用。最后还分析了东部地区的硫沉降趋势。
Based on the systematic research on the current situation of energy consumption and SO 2 emission in 18 provinces in East China,LEAP model and emission factor analysis are used to predict the future trends for 2000,2010 and 2020.The Three Gorges project and nuclear power plants are also taken into account,as well as the new policies and electricity balance between provinces.Given power plants as point source,emission data are divided into 100×100km 2 geographical grids,to be served as inputs to acid transportation model.Sulfur deposition trends are further analyzed for the area.
出处
《中国环境科学》
EI
CAS
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
1997年第4期349-352,共4页
China Environmental Science
基金
国家"八五"科技攻关子专题