基于平均负荷法预测电力电量

Electric power forecasting based on average load method

针对目前国内有关电力市场负荷预测方法存在的问题,积极探索某一特有电网的运行规律,提出了在现有条件下通过平均负荷法预测用电量和最大负荷,并将其与数学模型函数预测法相比较,得出其具有采集数据方便、预测准确程度高、耗费时间少等特点。

As there are some problems in load forecasting methods of domestic electricity market, this paper explores the operation laws of a specific power grid actively. It also brings forward an opinion to forecast electricity consumption and maximum load by average load method with existing conditions. This method is compared with mathematical model forecasting method. By doing this, we get to know that average load method can collect data conveniently, forecast interrelated electric parameters accurately and cost less time.