西部地区人力资源状况对城市化的制约分析

The effect of human resource on urbanization in West China

根据内生经济理论和信息经济学基本理论,采用相关分析和固定效应回归分析方法研究城市化与人力资源的相关关系,并进一步探寻中国西部人力资源落后的原因。经验和规范分析的结果表明,在全国范围内,人均受教育年限增加1年,城市化率增加10.22个百分点,两者的相关系数高达0.81;但是西部地区人均受教育年限增加1年,城市化率增加3.85个百分点,两者的相关系数为0.66。结论是:西部人力资源人力资本存量小,人口平均受教育年限低,限制了人力资源对城市化的促进作用,延缓了该区域城市化的进展。要加快西部地区经济发展和城市化进程,就必须优先发展教育,改善人力资源开发滞后现状,优化人力资源结构。

According to Endogenous Economic Growth Theory and Information Economics, the difference of human resource is the main explanation of diversity between East China and West China. Therefore, correlation analysis and fixed effect analysis are used to test the relationship between human resource and urbanization and reason of human resource lagging behind in West China is studied here. In China urbanization will increase 10. 22 percent when education increases 1 year, while in West China urbanization will increase 3.85 percent when education increase 1 year. Finally,it is proposed that education should be taken in the first place during economic development to improve human resource for faster urbanization.