中国石油市场:2007与2008

The Chinese oil market:2007 and 2008

2007年,全国国内共生产原油1.87亿吨,同比增长1.6%;共加工原油3.27亿吨,同比增长6.4%;石油净进口量为1.84亿吨,比上年增长7.8%。受国内外价格差等因素影响,石油产品净进口2416万吨,比上年下降22.9%,出口增长16.4%。尽管油价不断创新高,但由于经济快速增长等原因,2007年国内石油需求,特别是汽油、煤油、柴油等油品继续较快增长。2007年中国石油表观消费量达到3.70亿吨,同比增长4.6%;去除库存等因素,2007年中国石油实际消费量在3.65亿吨左右,比2006年增长5.4%。受国际油价的影响,2007年国内原油价格和成品油价格创历史新高。预计2008年国内石油市场仍会延续2007年的基本状况:原油生产缓慢增长,石油需求和进口继续较快增长,石油对外依存度将突破50%,石油价格将保持高位。

During 2007, China produced a total of 186.657 million tons of crude oil, a year-on-year increase of 1.6%; processed a total of 326.793 million tons of crude oil, a year-on-year increase of 6.4%; and imported a net total of 183.51 tons of oil, an increase of 7.8% over the previous year. Due to factors such as the disparity between domestic and international prices, net imports of petroleum products totaled 24.16 million tons, a decrease of 22.9%; meanwhile, exports rose 16.4%. The price of oil continues to climb to new record highs; thanks in part to China's rapidly developing economy, however, domestic demand for oil continued its rapid growth, particularly with respect to gasoline, kerosene, diesel and other oil products. China's apparent oil consumption rose to 370.167 million tons in 2007, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%. Eliminating factors such as reserves, actual consumption was approximately 365 million tons, an increase of 5.4% over 2006. Due to the impact of international oil prices, domestic prices for crude oil and oil products reached a record high in 2007. The basic situation which applied to China's domestic oil market in 2007 can be expected to continue into 2008: crude oil production will increase slowly, alongside rapid growth in demand for and imports of oil; the nation will depend on imports for more than 50% of its oil; oil prices will remain high.