基于PSR框架的我国石油安全评价

Research on Evaluation of Petroleum Security in China Based on PSR Framework

基于PSR框架建立了石油安全评价指标体系,运用熵值法和灰色关联法的集成对我国1993年至2006年的石油安全趋势作了实证研究。结果显示我国自1993年成为石油净进口国家以来,来自于石油安全方面的压力在逐步上升,保障石油安全方面的状态却在逐步恶化,而政府和社会对此做出的响应却并没有跟上前两个方面的变化,导致我国石油综合安全度一直下滑。

A petroleum security evaluation index system was established based on the PSR framework, and empirical study on the trends of China＇s oil security from 1993 to 2006 was performed with entropy and gray correlation method. The result reveals that since 1993 when China became one net oil importer, the pressure of oil security in China has gradually increased, and the state of oil security has gradually deteriorated. However, the response of the government and the society did not keep up with the above changes, which results in the decline in the comprehensive evaluation of petroleum security in China.