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理性预期与通货膨胀:美国经验 被引量:6

RATIONAL EXPECTATION AND INFLATION: AMERICAN EXPERIENCES
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摘要 从美国通胀动态模型的结构性变化中我们可以得到启示,在对中国通胀动态机制建模分析、给予政策建议的研究中,应当考虑我国自20世纪80年代以来经济结构、财政货币政策的变化,尽量避免简单地套用既有的黏性价格或者黏性通胀理论模型。这样,在对我国通胀动态走势进行统计、计量分析研究过程中才可能更科学、合理。 The structure changes of American inflation dynamic models tell us that when analyzing Chinese inflation, changes in economic structures and fiscal or monetary policies since 1980s should be considered, instead of simply using the sticky-prices inflation models. Only so, more reasonable estimations and predictions can be made.
作者 张成思
出处 《经济理论与经济管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2008年第3期70-75,共6页 Economic Theory and Business Management
基金 中国人民大学科学研究基金项目(06XNB003)
关键词 通胀动态 理性预期 黏性价格 广义矩回归 inflation dynamics rational expectation sticky prices GMM
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参考文献13

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二级参考文献38

  • 1张成思,刘志刚.中国通货膨胀率持久性变化研究及政策含义分析[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2007,24(3):3-12. 被引量:35
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  • 8Kim,C.J.,C.R.Nelson,and J.Piger,2004,The Less Volatile US Economy:A Bayesian Investigation of Timing,Breadth,and Potential Explanations[J],Journal of Business and Economic Statistics,22 (1),80~93.
  • 9Levin,A.T.,and J.M.Piger,2004,Is Inflation Persistence Intrinsic in Industrial Economies?[Z],European Central Bank Working Paper Series,No.334.
  • 10Mankiw,N.G.,and R.Reis,2002,Sticky Information Versus Sticky Prices:A Proposal to Replace the New Keynesian Phillips Curve[J],The Quarterly Journal of Economics,117 (4),1295~1328.

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