采用模拟法计算空投鱼雷反潜命中概率问题

Research on Hit Probability of Airborne Anti-submarine Torpedo Using Simulation Method

鱼雷命中概率是鱼雷武器作战效能的重要内容,是武器装备研究和作战使用研究的必要依据。通过想定机载空投鱼雷作战使用过程,对其要素和步骤进行数学抽象,分析确定鱼雷投放参数以及对复杂声学计算进行合理简化并建立仿真模型,采用蒙特卡洛方法,计算机载空投鱼雷反潜命中概率。

Hit probability of torpedo is an important element on research of combat efficiency for torpedo weapon. It is also a necessary basis of weapon and operation research. This paper analyzes the operational process of airborne anti-submarine torpedo, establishes mathematical model and calculates hit probability of the airborne anti-submarine torpedo using Monte Carlo method.