基于CGE模型的北京奥运会经济效应研究

Research on the Economic Effect of Peking Olympic Game Based on CGE Model

举办奥运会对中国经济的影响可分为奥运筹备建设期、奥运举办期和奥运会后期三个阶段。奥运经济对中国经济整体的影响将通过地区间和产业间的传导路径来实现。通过构造两区域可计算一般均衡模型(CGEM),对举办奥运会对北京和其他地区的经济影响进行了定性分析和定量估计,在此基础上提出相应的政策建议。

The influence of holding the Olympics to Chinese economy can be divided into three stages ： construction period, holding period, and post-Olympic period. It can be realized by the interlocal and conglomerate conduction. The general equilibrium model （CGEM） can be calculated by the constitution of the two ranges; thus a qualitative and quantitative analysis on the influence of holding the Olympic game to Peking and other regions is offered with advice on the policy-making.