基于投入产出表对上海市宏观经济的分析

An Analysis on Macroeconomics for Shanghai Based on the Input-Output Table

为分析上海市宏观经济运行情况,检验经济中各产业的相互联系,利用上海市2002年投入产出表,对上海市各产业部门进行了关联度分析以及就业和收入依赖分析,得出应重点发展机械设备制造业、运输仓储业及邮电软件业、金属产品制造业以及商业、贸易、住宿餐饮业等主导产业,以带动上海市整体经济的快速发展。通过比较1997年和2002年上海市投入产出表,分析各产业的投入变化,以及能源(电力热力、燃气)和水的生产供应业对各部门的投入。

Input--output analysis has become a popular approach to scrutinize the relevancy among each industry sector in the macroeconomy. Based on the input--output table of Shanghai in 2002, this paper analyzed the inter--sector relevancy, employment and income dependency of Shanghai and leaded a conclusion that manufacture of machinery, transport, storage and post, manufacture of metal products, trade and hotel, restaurants played a leading role in the economic development of Shanghai and should be assign a priority to develop. Besides, this paper also performed a comparison of input--output table of Shanghai between 1997 and 2002 to facilitate recognizing the input variation in all sectors. Lastly,a special analysis on the input of production and distribution of electric power, heat oower, gas and water was givern.