企业长寿指数研究——《财富》之美国500强范例分析

Research on Longevity Index for Enterprises——Paradigm Analysis of "Fortune" Top 500 in the U.S.

通过考察企业销售额长期变动趋势,解析贴近理想状态的运行轨迹,探索表达长寿特征的量化关系,寻求达至长寿水平的基本要素。其间有意避开了研究商业周期行为时人们常用的那些难以实际计算的繁杂方法,试图通过紧致集和普通微积分的方法获得可以量化的效果,以期对致力于长寿经营的企业提供一些评估导向。

This paper studies the trend in the long-time changes of turnover in enterprises to illustrate the operating trajectory close to an ideal state and explore a quantitative tunetion to express the longevity feature with the basic factors up to the longevity level. Meanwhile it intentionally avoids the complicated methods, whieh are frequently used but hard to calculate in studying the behaviors of business cycle. It tries to use the method of compact set and common calculous to get a quantitative result so as to provide some orientation of evaluation for the enterprises that endeavor the longevity operation.