自然灾害与区域粮食价格--以清代山西为例被引量：19

Natural Calamities and Area Grain Price——A Case of Shanxi Province in Qing Dynasty

导出

摘要本文通过对清代山西自然灾害与粮价波动的相关度的分析指出,二者呈显著相关。这一结论的出现与当时人口的增加、美洲白银大量输入引起的货币贬值以及人为阻碍市场流通等因素有关。但是,由于清代运行良好的制度保障以及晋商的作用等抑制因素的存在,这种相关是微弱的,偏向低度相关。本文的借鉴意义在于完善的制度保障、稳定的货币利率、畅通的市场体系等对于国家粮食安全以及经济运行具有相当重要的作用。 The paper points out that Shanxi natural calamities and grain price in Qing dynasty are obvious relevant through analyzing the correlation.The phenomenon such as population increasing, lots of America silver importing aroused money-devaluation and market circulation blocking effects the relevance obviously. But because of the existence of the factors such as fine system guarantee, the effect keeping system and Shanxi Merchants in Qing dynasty ,this correlation is weak, to be partial to lower. The paper is to recognize perfect system ensures , stable currency interest rate and unimpeded market system have the pretty important effect to country food security and economy operation.

作者李军李志芳石涛

机构地区中国农业大学经济管理学院山西大学经济与工商管理学院

出处《中国农村观察》 CSSCI 北大核心 2008年第2期40-51,58,共13页 China Rural Survey

关键词自然灾害粮食骱格清代山西

分类号 F724.721 [经济管理—产业经济] X43 [环境科学与工程—灾害防治]

引文网络
相关文献

参考文献20

1田嘉毂.《泽州府凤台县志》卷3《孝义》,朱樟修,雍正十三年刻本.
2Chuan,H.S.and Kraus,R.A.: Mid-Ch'ing Rice Markets and Trade:An Essay in Price History, East Asian Research Center Harvard of University, 1975.
3Li, Lillian M.:Using Grain Prices to Measure Food Cfises:Chihli Province in The Mid-Ch'ing Period, in The Second Conference on Modern Chinese Economic History, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica,1989.
4Li, Lillian M.:Fighting Famine in North China: State, Market, and Environmental Decline(1690s-1990s), Stanford University Press,2007.
5Lin,J.Yiffu:Food Availability, Entitlements and the Chinese Famine of 1959-61, Economic Journal, Vol. 110, No. 460, January 2000, pp. 136-158.
6Marks,R.B.:Tigers, Rices, Silk and Silt: Environment and Economy in Late Imperial South China, Cambridge University Press,1998.
7Rawski,Thomas G and Li, L.M.: Chinese History in Economic Perspective, University of California Press,1992.
8Wang, Y. C.:Food Supply And Grain Prices In The Yangtze Delta In The Eightreenth Century, in The Second Conference on Modern Chinese Economic History, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica,1989.
9Will,Pierre-Etienne and Wong, R. B.: Nourish the People: The State Civilian Granary System in China, 1650-1850. Ann Arbor, University of Michigan Center for Chinese Studies,1991.
10阿玛蒂亚·森.《贫困与饥荒》[M].商务印书馆,2001年.第41页.