全球农产品价格上涨影响我国农产品贸易

Price Hike in World Farm Produce to Affect Chinese Agro-Trade

主要受农产品供求关系显著变动影响，几年来全球出现了农产品及其食品价格不断上涨的势头。世界各国政府采取扩大农产品生产的政策措施，以及在高位价格的刺激下，农业生产者的积极性普遍较高。尽管未来若干年内主要农产品生产估计会不断扩大，但是，受世界极端气候的干扰，以及世界多数农产品的库存已经降到历史较低的水平，尤其是发展中国家对食品需求旺盛，发达国家发展生物能源耗用农产品的需求增长强劲，未来几年内世界农产品供求关系仍然趋紧，价格将保持高位波动。同时，各国都在新形势下调整粮食安全和能源安全的战略。这些对于农产品国际贸易必将产生较大影响。

In coming years, the relation between supply and demand for world farm produce seems to be still tight with higher price fluctuation, due to severe weather in the world, farm produce inventory at lower historical level in most countries, especially the great demand for food in developing countries and the strong demand for agro-products consumed in developing bio-energy by developed countries. It will certainly exert a significant influence on international agro-trade. Therefore, the Chinese players dealing with import and export of farm produce should fulIy seize the new changes in world agro-market.