中国制造业省际全要素生产率变动分析——基于非参数Malmquist指数方法

Provincial Productivity Analysis in China’s Manufacturing Industry

在构建1987-2005年中国28个省区市制造业面板数据的基础上，本文基于非参数Malmquist指数方法构造区域制造业生产前沿，考察制造业省际全要素生产率的增长来源、差异与变化趋势。研究表明，分析期内制造业的生产要素结构经历了一个资本相对密集化的过程；制造业省际全要素生产率的增长来源于技术进步，技术效率变化表现为负作用；全要素生产率在1988-1990年和1994-1997年两个时间段出现了负增长，1987-2002年全要素生产率总体上没有增长。

This paper focuses on the provincial productivity analysis for China＇s manufacturing industry. At first, the panel data about manufacturing industries of twenty-eight provinces from 1987 to 2005 year is set up. Then a Malmquist index approach is used to formulate the production frontier models for provincial manufacturing industry. The result shows that capital deepening has been intensified through this stage which changed the factor structure. The growth of total factor productivity （TFP） came from technical progress, while technical efficiency change deteriorated the productivity. Negative productivity growth occurred during 1988-1990 and 1994-1997. TFP didn＇t increase during 1987 to 2002 year.