影响分析与聚类分析在五强溪水库流量预报中的应用

Study on the Application of Influence Analysis and Cluster Analysis in the Flow Forecast of Wuqiangxi Reservoir

运用影响分析的统计方法对大量的观测数据进行筛选,在去除异常点并找出主要影响因子之后作聚类分析。根据分类后的数据,分别采用自回归分析对五强溪水库的流量进行预报,获得较好的预报效果。

A large amount of observation data were screened by using the statistical method of influence analysis.After removing the abnormal points and finding out main influencing factors,cluster analysis was made.According to the classified data,the flow of Wuqiangxi reservoir was forecasted by using autoregression analysis and better forecast effects were obtained.