摘要
客流预测与实际运营客流之间不断增大的差异,已经成为影响大城市轨道交通网络化运营的突出问题。深入分析这一问题存在的根本原因,着重提出在客流总量、空间分布、时间分布三种不均衡条件下,为保证城市轨道交通高效运营而应采取的客流补偿和引导措施。研究轨道交通客流成长的基本规律以及客流与线网结构之间的基本关系,提出在城市轨道交通领域应用交通需求管理的方法,最后给出网络化解决城市轨道交通运营问题的宏观思路。
The increasing deviation of forecasted passenger flow from operation passenger flow has become an outstanding problem in network-operated Mass Transit Railway. Aiming at this problem, this paper proposes compensation approaches under the disequilibrium conditions of overall passenger volume, space distribution and time distribution. It studies the basic characteristics of MTR passenger flows, investigates the relationship between passenger flow and network structure, and proposes the application of TDM （Traffic Demand Management） in MTR field. Some macroscopic ideas about solving MTR operation problems by means of network are put forward in the end.
出处
《都市快轨交通》
2008年第2期19-23,共5页
Urban Rapid Rail Transit
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(60674012)
