内生经济增长理论与反贫困--基于“丝路明珠”和田地区的贫困问题研究

Endogenous Economic Growth Theory and Anti-Poverty-Research on poverty Based on Hetian a Pearl of the Silk Road

本文运用内生经济增长理论,探讨政府有关人力资本和基础设施的投资对贫困人口发生率的影响程度。利用1995～2004年之间和田地区各县的面板数据,建立多元线性回归模型,评价不同类型政府投入的效果。分析表明,政府提高人力资本的投资,如在公共医疗、信息化、教育和基础设施建设方面的投入对推动地区经济增长,打破贫困与环境之间的恶性循环,减少贫困人口数量效果显著。

According to the Endogenous Economic Growth Theory,this paper develops an analytical frame work to assess the impact of the government spending of the human resource and infrastructure contributed on reduction in poverty.Using Hetian provincial-level data for 1995-2004,the paper establishes a Multiple-linear regression model to estimate the effects of different types of government expenditure.The results show that government spending,such as Public Health,informationization,rural education,and infrastructure contributed not only ranks the effects of government spending on growth,but also breaks the vicious circle of PPE.