3SEUNG-RYONG H, SETH D. GUIKEMA. Estimating the spatial distribution of power outages during hurricanes in the gulf coast region[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 2009,94(2) :21--39.
4LITTERMAN R B. Forecasting with Bayesian vectorecasting with Bayesian vector autoregressions-five years of experience [J]. Journal of Business&Economie Statistics, 1986 ,4(1) :25 --37.
5ZELLNER A. Bayesian analysis in econometrics and statistics:the zellner view and papers[M]. [S. L]. Edward Elgar Publishing, 1997.
6BARRTO DE A, MARINHO ANDDRA D E. Bayesian inference and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods applied to streamflow forecasting[C]//Proc 6th Intl Conf on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS). Funchal, 2000.
7LAURENT GARDES , STEPHANE GIRARD. Estimating extreme quantiles of Weibull tail distributions [J]. Communications in Statistics Theory and Methods, 2005,34 (5) : 1065 -- 1080.
