区域防空中地空导弹兵兵力需求估算

Force demand evaluation of ground-to-air missile troops in area air defense

针对区域防空中地空导弹兵兵力需求计算涉及因素多、计算困难的特点,巧妙运用规范交战模式,构建了一套估算区域防空地空导弹兵兵力需求的方法。通过分析信息化条件下空防对抗的特点,发现可以用多兵种兰彻斯特平方律来近似描述空防对抗的杀伤过程。为求解此方程,引入了规范交战模式,并基于规范交战模式构建了兵力需求估算模型。由于区域防空是全方位的防空,故此分析了敌空袭兵力的可能规模和可能来袭方向,构建了整个区域防空中地空导弹兵兵力需求估算模型,并给出兵力解聚模型。该方法求解兵力需求具有计算简单快捷的特点。

Force demand evaluation in area air defense is very hard in calculation because many factors are involved. Normal combat model is used here for evaluating the demanded ground-to-air missile troops. After analyzing the characteristics of modem air defense, it is founded the combat process of modem air defense can be described approximately by Lanehester equation of multiple arms of services. The concept of normal combat model is introduced, and the force demand evaluation model is built up based on normal combat model. On this basis, the possible scale and the possible coming direction of air force is analyzed. Then, the force demand evaluation method of ground-to-air missile troops in the whole area air defense is given. The method is simple and quick in evaluating the force demand in area air defense.