中国与东盟各国双边贸易发展前景及存在的问题

Development Prospects and Problems of the Bilateral Trade between China and ASEAN

随着中国与东盟各国经济增长,中国与东盟各国进出口贸易额不断增加;东盟北部地区四国和南部地区六国的对外贸易增长存在显著的差异,北部四国中的越南对外贸易增长较快,南部六国中新加坡对外贸易增长较快;中国与东盟自由贸易区的建立,为中国与东盟之间双边与多边贸易发展创造了广阔的发展前景;中国与东盟双边贸易中面临着贸易不平衡性、农产品贸易摩擦、敏感产品与大宗产品贸易摩擦、区域外部势力不当干预等多方面的风险。

Based on statistic data and literatures, this paper explores future development prospects and problems of the bilateral trade between China and ASSEAN with the method of empirical analysis. Economy and international trade keep rapid growth both in China and ASEAN, which creates more and more bilateral trade chances for China and ASSEAN members. There are great differences of import and export between north members and south members of ASSEAN, and there would be good development prospects of the bilateral trade between China and ASSEAN with the formation of ASEAN-China Free Trade Area in future. Meanwhile, there would be many problems faced such as trade imbalance, trade friction of primary products, trade friction of sensitive goods or bulk commodities, and improper intervention from outside. China and ASEAN are suggested to adopt effective policies to control bilateral trade risks in future, which will promote the bilateral investment and regional cooperation of the two large open economic systems.