摘要
根据2005年全国1%人口抽样调查样本数据(抽样比为1.325%),建立了人口预测与控制模型———人口发展方程的离散模型.模型的检验结果表明,此离散模型能很好地预测中国人口发展,并可利用其中参数对人口总数进行控制.
According to the sampling data of one percent nationwide population sampling investigation in the year 2005 (the sampling ratio is 1. 325 %), a population forecast and control model-the separated model of population growing equation was set up. The test result of the model show that this separated model can forecast Chinese population growing very well and may be used to control the total population.
出处
《周口师范学院学报》
CAS
2008年第2期41-43,60,共4页
Journal of Zhoukou Normal University
关键词
人口总量
预测
控制
人口发展方程
离散模型
total population
forecast
control
population growing equation
separated model