国际市场石油价格波动分析

Analysis on the Price Fluctuation of Petroleum in International Petroleum Market

利用国际石油市场的数据对油价波动进行实证分析。由于市场供求结构发生了长期性的改变,以垄断市场结构或竞争型市场结构来解释油价波动的方法难以得到实际数据的支持,而经济结构上的内在变化才能使油价波动形态发生根本性的变化。

The petroleum price fluctuation was empirically ＇analyzed with the data in international petroleum market. Due to the long-term change in supply and demand structure of the market, the method that interpreting the petroleum price fluctuation by monopolized market structure or competition market structure could not be supported by practical data, Whereas the inherent change in economic structure could cause the configuration of the petroleum price fluctuation to be changed fundamentally.