涿州农业科技园区规划方案模拟——基于系统动力学

The Simulation for Programming Project of Zhuozhou Agriculture Science and Technology Park——Based on System Dynamics

运用系统动力学,建立了涿州农业园区规划方案的优选模型,通过此模型的计算机仿真模拟,预测了4种不同投资配比对农业科技园区发展产生的不同结果。仿真结果显示,园区规划要考虑各产业对园区发展的影响;在园区发展前期,运用加工业的经济高带动性,适当提高加工业的投资比例,带动园区经济的发展;发展后期,要注意园区各产业的综合型发展,形成各产业相互促进的发展格局。

In this paper,utilized the system dynamics to establish programming project simulation, ent results of park development by four different scale of investment and predicted the differ- through emluator. The results show that, the park programming should consider the various industries＇impact on the development of the park, in the earlier period, using the improvement of Processing industry investment ratio to spur economic development in the park, in the late period need to pay attention to the integrated development of a all industries to promote mutual development pattern.