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马尔柯夫模型在保险市场中的应用

Application on Markov Model in Insurance Market
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摘要 阐述了马尔柯夫预测法的基本原理,分析了保险市场中同险种市场占有率满足马尔柯夫链的性质,用马尔柯夫模型预测了动态保险市场的占有率状况并做出了最优决策,为保险公司经营和决策提供参考。 The basic principle of Markov forecast is elaborated and the occupancy of same insurance types market should match with of the nature of Markov chain is also analyzed. By predicting the dynamic state of the insurance market share with Markov model, it makes out the best decision which can provide a reference for decision-making and insurance companies operators.
出处 《湖南工业大学学报》 2008年第2期32-34,共3页 Journal of Hunan University of Technology
关键词 马尔柯夫预测法 决策 保险市场 Markov forecast decision insurance market
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