摘要
地下水是一个复杂的时间序列,其变化与区域气候条件和生态环境密切相关,具有明显的年际同期性和随机性波动,用适当的模型描述地下水的动态变化具有重要意义。以红旗岭农场为例,采用小波随机耦合的分析方法建立红旗岭农场地下水埋深动态预测模型,对地下水埋深进行模拟和预测,提示了该区地下水动态变化规律,为红旗岭农场地下水资源的可持续发展提供了科学的依据。
Groundwater is a complicated time sequence. The variation of groundwater table is closely related to climate and ecosystern, which is characterized by significant yearly changes and random fluctuations. Therefore, an appropriate model would be good for describing the dynamic variation of groundwater. This paper took Hongqiling Farm as an example, established the groundwater embedment depth dynamic forecast model of Hongqiling Farm using the method of wavelet-stochastic coupling model analysis. By u- sing the method, this paper simulated and forecast groundwater embedment depth, revealed the dynamic variation regulation of the area and provided a scientific basis for the sustainable development of groundwater resources in Hongqiling Farm.
出处
《中国农村水利水电》
北大核心
2008年第4期33-35,38,共4页
China Rural Water and Hydropower
关键词
红旗岭农场
小波随机耦合
动态预测模型
Hongqiling Farm
wavelet-stochastic coupling model
dynamic forecast model
