技术进步、结构变动与改善国民经济中间消耗被引量：61

Technological Progress,Industrial Restructuring and Improvement of National Intermediate Consumption

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摘要本文利用历年的投入产出数据,对中国1992年以来中间消耗水平的变化趋势进行了分析。通过三大产业部门直接消耗系数矩阵和中间需求消耗矩阵时间序列研究了技术进步、产业结构变动及价格变化对整个国民经济中间消耗水平的影响。研究表明,在这一时期,技术进步对降低国民经济中间消耗的水平和改善经济增长效率做出了贡献,但由于价格关系的改变和中间消耗水平较高的部门比重增加,用现行价格反映的整个国民经济的中间消耗率反而是上升的。要改变这一趋势,保持我国的可持续发展,提高各部门的投入产出效率,要和产业结构的调整和升级结合起来。在这一分析的基础上,本文探讨了降低整个国民经济中间消耗水平的具体途径。 An analysis is made in this paper with the data of input-out tables in China from 1992 to investigate the trend of intermediate consumption. It is analyzed according to three industries how technical change and industrial restructure as well as price changes influence intermediate consumption of China through the time series of direct consumption coefficient matrix and intermediate demand coefficient matrix. A conclusion is derived that the technical change contributed to the improvement of efficiency of economic growth during the period. However, the national intermediate consumption coefficient at current price increased due to the changes of relations among various prices and the increase of percentage of the secondary industry with a higher intermediate consumption. It is necessary to coordinate the developments between technical change and industrial restructuring to reduce national intermediate consumption in order to remain the sustainable development. The measures to reduce the level of national intermediate consumption are discussed and investigated.

作者刘伟蔡志洲

机构地区北京大学经济学院北京大学中国国民经济核算与经济增长研究中心

出处《经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2008年第4期4-14,40,共12页 Economic Research Journal

基金教育部哲学社会科学研究基金重大攻关项目项目名称:"中国市场经济发展研究" 项目编码:03J2D0011

关键词投入产出表中间消耗产业结构经济增长 Input-out Table Intermediate Consumption Industrial Structure Economic Growth

分类号 F222.33 [经济管理—国民经济]

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参考文献11

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