建设用地动态变化研究方法探讨

On the Methods of Research of the Dynamic Changes in Land Used for Construction

建设用地动态变化是土地利用动态变化的一部分。文中介绍了建设用地动态变化研究,并借鉴土地利用动态变化研究的部分成果,在总结建设用地动态变化的特点、影响及趋势的基础上构建了建设用地动态变化研究模型体系。针对建设用地变化的不同方面构建了不同的动态模型并阐述了模型成果的应用,预测建设用地需求的两种不同方法:因果分析法和时间序列法。

The dynamic changes in land used for construction represent an aspect of the dynamic changes in land use. This paper describes the contents of research of construction land changes. Then, based on the different parts of the changes in the land used for construction, different models of the dynamic changes are constructed, and their applications are introduced. Finally, two different methods for predicting the requirements for construction land, i.e. causality analysis and time sequence method, are discussed.