重庆市全要素生产率的计算与分析

Calculation and Analysis of Total Factor Productivity of Chongqing

通过对重庆市1985年以来资本存量的估算,并对1985-2006年重庆市经济统计数据进行回归分析,计算了重庆市的全要素生产率及资本和劳动的贡献率。发现直辖效应对重庆市经济发展影响很明显,资本和技术是重庆市经济最主要的增长源,重庆市劳动投入对经济增长相对滞后。建议政府在优化产业结构的同时也要优化就业结构和投资结构,提升全要素贡献率,从而促进经济待续、健康发展。

Total Factor Productivity and the contribution rate of capital and labor in Chongqing Municipality are calculated through an estimation of its capital stock since 1985 and a regression analysis of the economic statistics data from 1985 to 2006. The results demonstrate that the effect of Chongqing after becoming municipality directly under the central government is quite significant and that capital and technology are the mainly growing sources in Chongqing＇s economy while its labor input is inadequate. The authors propose that that the government should optimize the employment structure and the investment structure as well as the industrial structure and increase the Total Factor Productivity so as to promote the economic growth of the city.