改革以来中国经济增长因素的分析及测算

Analysis and Estimation of the Factors Contributing to China’s Economic Growth since the Reform

笔者运用标准的计量方法进行实证检验,结合改革开放以来中国的特征事实,测算了中国经济增长的要素投入贡献和全要素生产率贡献。结果显示,中国的经济增长是要素投入和包括人力资本、制度变迁、技术进步等全要素生产率综合作用的结果,其中全要素生产率的提高对经济增长做出了大约三分之一的贡献。因此,改革开放以来中国的经济增长并不完全是投入驱动型的,而是真实可靠的增长。

The author makes an empirical test with the standard measurement method and in combination with the fact in China since the reform and opening measures the contribution of factors input and total factor productivity to China＇ s economic growth. The result shows that China＇ s economic growth is the result of the comprehensive function of factors input and total factor productivity including human capital, institutional change, technological progress and so on. And the improvement of TFP accounts for about one third of the contribution to economic growth. Therefore China＇ s economic growth is not completely driven by input but a real and reliable economic growth.