摘要
运用多元回归线性模型找到医疗费用的需方方程和供方方程,对医疗费用的未来走势进行了预测。研究表明,我国医疗费用呈直线上升趋势。医疗费用的增长与平均每所医院的业务收入、政府卫生支出的比例以及人均卫生费等因素成正相关关系,与居民消费价格总指数、卫生机构卫生技术人员数成负相关关系。在此基础上提出了控制医疗费用增长的建议。
The article made use of diverse tropics model to find out health care expenditure to buyer equation and provider equation, carrying on an forecast to the future trend of health care expenditure. The research expresses that Chinese health care expenditure presents a straight line-up trend the growth of health care expenditure with average each the business income, government health expenditure and person health care expenditure etc. factor become just related relation, and residents" consumption price total index number, health organization health technical personnel count become negative related relation. On the basis the article puts forward suggestions to control the growth of health care expenditure.
出处
《中国卫生经济》
2008年第5期16-18,共3页
Chinese Health Economics
基金
江苏省教育厅高校哲学社会科学基金项目(06SJB630055)
关键词
医疗费用
影响因素
预测
控制
health care expenditure, infection factor, forecast, control