中原城市群城市承载力评价研究

Urban Carrying Capacity Evaluation of the Central Henan Urban Agglomeration

快速城镇化背景下,城市发展与资源环境的矛盾日益突出。选取中原城市群中土地、水资源、交通和环境要素承载力指标,建立城市综合承载力评价指标体系。通过综合评价与比较分析,得出如下结论:水资源承载力对中原城市群的发展影响最大,而且是城市群发展中的短板要素;城市群供给指数低于需求指数;中原城市群城市综合承载力在五大城市群中处于中等水平;郑州和洛阳引领城市群发展的能力有限。针对上述问题,从城市发展速度、模式以及居民行为方式等方面提出提高承载力的政策建议。

Based on the theory of urban carrying capacity, this paper put forword sixteen index applying to assess the problem of the Central Henan Urban Agglomeration. The results show that water carrying capacity become the most important factor that influenced the city development;the supply index does not match demand index;the comprehensive carrying capacity is middle level in five city agglomerations;the development capacity of Zhengzhou and Luoyang is limited. To solve these problems, some measures are put forward such as changing the speed and model of development, improving the pattern of the human behaviors, et al.