城市化进程中农地非农化的政府驱动--基于中国地级以上城市面板数据的分析

Toward Government Driving of Non-Agriculture Usage of Rural Land in Urbanization:An Analysis Based on Cities Panel Data in China

本文利用中国地级以上264个城市面板数据,采用固定效应模型对城市化进程中农地非农化的需求因素进行了分析。在控制城市人口规模变量的基础上发现各地房地产开发、以经济发展和公共产品提供为内容的城市竞争形成了农地非农化的压力;高校园区扩张、开发区热和土地出让收入不仅是城市化土地需求的重要因素,而且在一定时期内具有递增作用。这表明我国城市化进程中农地非农化具有明显的政府驱动。分地区计量结果显示,东部地区经济发展的驱动作用明显,中部地区土地出让收入显著,西部地区表现出房产开发和高校园区的扩张驱动。

Using panel data of 264 cities, the paper analyses the factors of non-agriculture usage of land with fixed effect model. We find that competition among cities regarding real estate, economic growth and public goods leads to pressure of non-agriculture usage of rural land. Collegiate expansion, development zone and other forms of land usage consist of potential accelerating factors as well as important land demand in cities. This shows that government diving behaviors in this aspect is obvious.