5Hodrick, R. J. , and Prescott, E. C.. Post-war U. S. Business Cycles : An Empirical Investigation [ R ]. Working Paper, Car- negie University, 1980 : 63 - 71.
6Greene, W. H.. Econometric Analysis [ M ]. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, Inc, 1993 : 47 - 78.
7KEYNES, J.The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money[M]. New York: Harcourt, Brace, Inc, 1936.
8KUZNETS, SIMON.National Income and Its Composition, 1919-1938[C].National Bureau of Economic Research, No.40, 1941.
9JAMES STEMBLEDUESENBERRY.Income, Saving and the Theory of Consumer Behavior[M].Harvard University Press, 1949.
10FRIEDMAN, M.A Theory of the Consumption Function[M]. Princeton:Princeton University Press, 1957.