1987年以来我国入境旅游区域差异特征与演变趋势分析

An Analysis of the Character and Evolution Trends of Regional Discriepancy of Chinese Inbound Tourism Since 1987

本文使用基尼系数分析了1987年以来我国入境旅游的区域差异特征及演变趋势。分析表明:一方面,1987以来我国入境旅游区域差异非常明显,入境旅游在全国省区之间、东部与中西部地区之间以及东、中、西部地区内部存在广泛的差异;另一方面,这种区域差异总体呈现缩小的演变趋势。通过使用分省的面板数据模型进行计量检验,发现经济发展水平、国际航线数、旅游产品丰富程度、海外市场接近度和基础设施状况是决定入境旅游区域差异的显著因素。最后,本文根据分析结果提出了相应的政策建议。

The paper used Gini coefficient to analyze the character and evolution trends of regional diserepaneies of Chinese inbound tourism. The result shows that since 1987Chinese inbound tourism market displays an obvious regional disparity and a wide range of differences exist in inbound tourist markets between provinces, between east and mid-west regions, with internal disparities in even one region. The result also indicates that these regional diserepaneies tend to reduce. By applying panel data model to test and measure the characters and evolution trends of each province, the authors found that inbound tourism is strongly affected by the level of regional economy growth, the amount of international routes, the richness of travel production, the accessibility of foreign market and the status of infrastructures. The paper ended with some policy recommendations.