基于基尼系数对我国城乡收入差距的预警分析

Research on Early Warning to the Income Gap between Urban and Rural Districts Based on Gini Coefficient

城乡收入差距过大日渐成为一个被社会关注的热点。在划定我国城乡居民收入分配差距国内"警戒线"的基础上构建了我国城乡收入分配差异的预警体系,并对未来十年我国城乡居民收入分配状况进行了预警分析。结果表明:2011年我国城乡差距将达到新高。

The excessive income disparity between urban and rural areas is becoming a focus in China social economy. In order to explain these problems, we establish a early warning system on the basis of studying the ＂warning line＂ of income disparity between urban and rural areas. Based on the early warning system, we make the early warning analysis on the income disparity between urban and rural areas for the future ten years. The results show that the future situation will continue to deteriorate, in 2011, the income gap will reach a new high level.